Why the Recent Threats against US Embassies is BS
By Kerry Patton
How many US Embassies have closed for business over the years? How many all at once? Never have I heard of twenty plus Embassies and or Consulates shut down for business before all at once. But according to many, some cacamooca threat exists which has concerned the US State Department enough to shut down a plethora of overseas operations.
Let me be the first to say in no time has any Embassy or Consulate not been under some type of threat. Someone, somewhere, wishes to cause harm and mayhem to the United States and while a few may believe our Embassies and Consulates are secured facilities, they are not.
So, claiming some threat exists is a no brainer. Of course a threat exists. Threats always exist.
Now, to claim the United States has “actionable intelligence” which has authorized some decision maker at the highest of State Department echelons to shut down twenty-plus Embassies is nonsense. Let me explain.
First, all threats are tactical. This means that all threats come from a specific location on the ground. No threat, let me repeat that one, NO THREAT is strategic in nature. Why is this important to understand? Because if a threat truly existed, and “actionable intelligence” determined such a threat existed, we would know the approximate location of such a threat.
So why from West Africa, throughout the Maghreb, across the Middle East, through the Levant, and into Central Asia have we decided to close so many Embassies and Consulates?
Forget that for a second and let’s look more at “threat matrixes.”
Just for the record….I am not Edward Snowden nor am I Bradley Manning so if you’re looking for me to give away state secrets, forget about it….
As intelligence gets collected, analysts work diligently to find what are known as “gaps.” These gaps create what are known as Priority Intelligence Requirements (PIRs) which result in loads and loads of Requests for Information (RFI’s).
What are PIRs?
The identification, prioritization, and refinement of uncertainties concerning the threat and the battlefield environment that a command must resolve to accomplish its mission. What this means is very simple. If a threat is considered existent, people need to get off their asses and start doing a shitload of homework to better understand and formulate strategies to counter such.
This brings me to my next point—Courses of Action (COA) or Contingency Operation Plans (COOPs).
In no way in hell should anyone with any form of authority allow a primary mission to stop simply because the boogie man is knocking at your door. Such authorities need to create secondary missions to collect, understand, and destroy threats.
We don’t expect our military to simply shut down because a squad or platoon took a punch to the face resulting in some bloody noses. We wouldn’t expect our CIA to do the same. And, we sure as hell should not expect our State Department to act like a bunch of pansy ass cowards which completely negates our nation’s reputation as the world’s number one superpower by shutting down so many embassies.
Simply put, if a threat truly does exist which is a credible threat coming from actionable intelligence (mind you, I obviously believe none of the sort exists right now per the claims being made by our State Department), we need to find that threat and eliminate it! Acting like a bunch of scared ostriches is no way to do business but that is exactly what we are doing as a nation when it comes to US National Security and Foreign Policy.
Now you watch, within 24 hours, Al Qaeda will attack a US Embassy or Consulate just to prove me wrong….Bastards!
Kerry Patton is the author of Contracted: America’s Secret Warriors.